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Using Predictive Modelling to Inform Early Alert and Intrusive Advising Interventions and Improve Retention

A new report from the Higher Education Quality Council of Ontario has found that a mathematical model can predict which students are most likely to leave PSE before completing their program. The report describes a project that saw researchers at Mohawk College and the Education Policy Research Initiative develop and test a predictive model that categorized incoming students at Mohawk based on their risk of leaving early. The study found that when the predicted levels of leaving were compared to actual leaving rates, the model performed well. “Overall the findings suggest that employing administrative and related student-level data to develop and then use predictive models of student retention represents a promising practice to assist institutions in better understanding student retention,” write the researchers.



Publisher: The Higher Education Quality Council of Ontario (HEQCO)

Jurisdiction: National

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